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Center for Advancing Health Policy through Research

Hospital Payment Cap Simulator

Hospital payment caps could save state employee health plans millions while keeping hospital operating margins healthy.

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map of the US

Visit the Hospital Payment Cap Simulator

Interact with a simulator of state savings from hospital payment cap for all state employee health plan members.

Go there

Hospital Payment Cap Simulator

Hospital payment caps could save state employee health plans millions while keeping hospital operating margins healthy.

Visualizing the Impact of the Hospital Payment Caps

Motivation

Hospital prices have been identified as the main driver of rising health care spending in the US, prompting states to explore policies aimed at controlling hospital price growth. Hospital payment caps, which institute limits on hospital payments—typically at a percentage of Medicare’s rate—have been found to reduce hospital facility prices and member out-of-pocket spending.  

The Hospital Payment Cap Simulator provides anyone from policymakers to researchers with insights into how much state employee plans across the US could save from hospital payment caps and the impact on commercial hospital operating margins. Read the instructions below to learn how to use the tool. 

For states seeking technical assistance, please email roslyn_murray@brown.edu

About the Simulator

How to use it, how it was put together, where the data comes from.

Adjusting the Slider

Drag the slider to modify the payment cap and view the corresponding state-level savings. Darker shades indicate larger savings estimates.

Exploring Savings By State

Click on any state to see detailed savings at the hospital level, as well as the changes in hospitals’ commercial margins with the cap versus without it. 

Adjusting Hospitals Subject to the Cap

Use the checkbox to select which hospitals to include. Uncheck “Small and/or Rural” to exclude small and rural hospitals from the policy.

Returning to the Main Map View

Click on the white space or outside the U.S. area of the map to return to the main map view.

Note: For optimal viewing, please enter full screen by clicking the full-screen button at the bottom right corner of the screen.

This study examines the potential for state employee health plans to reduce spending through hospital payment caps. By setting payment rates at 200% of Medicare, state plans could save an average of $150 million per state annually, totaling $7.1 billion nationally. The proposed payment caps would have a minimal impact on hospital operating margins, making it a promising strategy for states to address rising health care costs without jeopardizing hospital financial stability.

Read the full paper here for more information on the methodology

The Hospital Payment Cap Simulator uses 2022 data from multiple sources: 

  • Employer Hospital Price Transparency Study (round 5), published by the Employer-Led Transparency Initiative,
  • National Academy for State Health Policy (NASHP) Hospital Cost Tool, and
  • 2022 State Employee Health Plan Survey from Georgetown University’s Center on Health Insurance Reforms’

Visit the Hospital Payment Cap Simulator

Interact with the simulator of state savings from hospital payment cap for all state employee health plan members.

Go there

Meet the Creators of the Simulator

  • Jay Shroff

    Jay Shroff MS

    Senior Data Scientist
    jay_shroff@brown.edu
  • Nandita Radhakrishnan

    Nandita Radhakrishnan BA

    Senior Data Analyst
    nandita_radhakrishnan@brown.edu

Potential for Millions Saved While Keeping Margins Intact: About the Study

This study, led by researchers from CAHPR at Brown University, and published in Health Affairs examines the financial impact of capping hospital payments for state employee health plans at 200% of Medicare rates.  By analyzing healthcare spending data across 46 states and Washington, D.C., the study assesses the financial impact of such caps on both state budgets and hospital stability. The researchers also investigate different cap designs, their feasibility, and the policy implications, considering how similar strategies could be adapted to broader healthcare markets.

read the full paper

Authors: By Roslyn C. Murray, Christopher M. Whaley, Erin C. Fuse Brown, and Andrew M. Ryan

Date of Publication: December 3, 2024

Funding: This study was supported by funding provided by Arnold Ventures.

Key Findings from the Study

Cost Savings

  • Implementing a payment cap at 200% of Medicare rates could have saved state employee health plans $7.1 billion nationwide in 2022.
  • On average, states could have saved $150.2 million annually, representing 0.35% of state expenditures.
  • Savings ranged from $2.7 million in Rhode Island to $993 million in California.

Minimal Impact on Hospital Financial Stability*

  • Commercial hospital operating margins would decrease only slightly, from 42.7% to 41.7%, under the proposed cap, indicating the financial viability of hospitals would be preserved.

Potential for Broader Application to Commercial Market

  • While the study focused on state employee health plans, extending similar caps to the broader commercial market could yield substantial savings. Extrapolated data suggest a potential savings of $87.7 billion annually for the entire commercial market under the same cap levels.

*The limited impact is partly due to state employees representing a relatively small share of hospital volume and revenue.

Meet the Authors of the Study

  • Roslyn C. Murray

    Roslyn C. Murray Ph.D., MPP

    Assistant Professor of Health Services, Policy & Practice
    roslyn_murray@brown.edu
  • Chris Whaley

    Christopher M. Whaley Ph.D.

    Associate Professor of Health Services, Policy & Practice
    christopher_whaley@brown.edu
  • Erin Fuse Brown

    Erin Fuse Brown JD, MPH

    Professor of Health Services, Policy & Practice
    erin_fuse_brown@brown.edu
  • Andrew Ryan

    Andrew M. Ryan Ph.D.

    Director for the Center for Advancing Health Policy Through Research, Professor of Health Services, Policy & Practice
    andrew_m_ryan@brown.edu

Related content

How Payment Caps Can Reduce Hospital Prices and Spending: Lessons from the Oregon State Employee Plan

This issue brief provides key lessons for states considering hospital payment caps. Setting caps above Medicare rates but below state plan prices can encourage provider participation. Exempting small and rural hospitals protects vulnerable facilities, while legislating payment caps ensures long-term stability. Oregon’s strategy offers valuable insights for managing health care costs while maintaining access to care.

Hospital Facility Prices Declined As A Result Of Oregon’s Hospital Payment Cap

Oregon's 2019 hospital payment cap for state employee health plan enrollees saved $107.5 million (4% of total spending) in the first two years. The cap reduced inpatient costs by nearly $2,800 per admission in the second year and lowered outpatient prices by $130.50 per procedure. This policy illustrates an effective strategy for states to control hospital price growth and achieve savings in state employee health plans.

Oregon's Hospital Payment Cap & Enrollee Out-of-Pocket Spending and Service Use

Oregon's 2019 hospital payment cap for state employees lowered out-of-pocket costs by 9.5% for enrollees in higher cost-sharing plans, saving $1.8 million over two years. However, it also led to a 4.8% rise in outpatient service use, cutting overall state savings by $10.3 million - suggesting that while price caps can lower enrollee costs, states should weigh the potential rise in health care use when designing policies.

Hospital care costs are out of control. Price caps can help

This STAT news article discusses Oregon's successful experiment in implementing price caps on hospital services, saving $107.5 million in two years, suggesting a viable solution for states battling soaring healthcare costs.

Effect of Hospital Price Caps, Tackling PE Influence, & Unveiling Medicare Disparities

This April 2024 CAHPR newsletter highlights our featured research of the quarter on the impact of hospital price caps in the state of Oregon. Other research and policy highlighted include the lifecycle of private equity investments in physician practices, ramifications of hospital-physician integration on primary care access, and characterizing beneficiary access and behavior in Medicare.
map of the US

Visit the Hospital Payment Cap Simulator

Interact with a simulator of state savings from hospital payment cap for all state employee health plan members.

Go there
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